North Korea Leadership Watch

Research and Analysis on the DPRK Leadership

International Crisis Group Report (or, DPRK-PRC BFF’s in a Nuclear Age?)

The Australian newspaper The Age covers a brand new report from International Crisis Group.  The Brussels-based International Crisis Group puts out a wide variety of excellent analytic products.  They are stationed around the world conducting field research and offering policy proscriptions aimed at conflict resolution and new methods of strategic thought.  This new study Shades of Red: China’s Debate Over North Korea finds the PRC unwilling to jeopardize its close relationship with the DPRK over the North Koreans’ nuclear and strategic weapons programs.  According to the report’s executive summary:

Pyongyang’s latest round of provocations has prompted Beijing to reconsider its North Korea policy. A rocket launch, the withdrawal from the Six-Party Talks, and the 25 May nuclear test all deepened doubts in China about its policies towards its neighbour. This series of escalating gestures coincided with reports that Kim Jong-il was seriously ill, which set in train succession plans. Together, the nuclear tensions and succession worries drew out an unusually public, and critical, discussion in China about its ties with North Korea. The debate took place between those proposing a stronger line against North Korea (“strategists”) and others advocating the continuation of substantial political and economic cover for China’s traditional ally (“traditionalists”). Beijing ultimately supported a strongly worded UN Security Council presidential statement and a resolution mandating a substantial sanctions regime, albeit one focused on missile and defence programs that would not destabilise the economy. Although many in the West have pointed to this debate as a sign of a policy shift, Beijing’s strategic calculations remain unchanged. As one high-level Chinese diplomat said, “Our mindset has changed, but the length of our border has not”.

You can view the entire executive summary or download the whole report here.

One comment on “International Crisis Group Report (or, DPRK-PRC BFF’s in a Nuclear Age?)

  1. Juchechosunmanse
    11/03/2009

    Joshua Stanton of One Free Korea could really use this report. For his information, nothing is as black and white as he always seem to believe.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Information

This entry was posted on 11/02/2009 by in DPRK External Relations, DPRK-China Relations, Six Party Talks.

Article Archives

November 2009
M T W T F S S
 1
2345678
9101112131415
16171819202122
23242526272829
30